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over 3 years ago

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q: title: Will an earthquake measuring 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022?, description: This is a market on whether at least one earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occurs on Earth between January 1, 2022 (12:00:00 AM ET) and June 1, 2022 (12:00:00 AM ET), as measured by the U.S. Geological Survey. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the resolution source lists 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher anywhere on earth for that period. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). To access the data, one must choose the earthquake they are looking for from the list then open its individual page, then open its “Origin” detailed data. The URLs of such pages are usually formatted as follows: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/%5B_CATALOGNUMBER_%5D/origin/detail Specifically, the number next to the magnitude (regardless of the uncertainty level and of the scale used) and the origin time at the “Origin” page of each earthquake in question will be used. Please note, only earthquakes with “REVIEWED” origin status will be considered. The last data check will be done on June 7th, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p2 corresponds to Yes, p1 to a No, p3 to unknown. The Oracle resolved to -57896044618658097711785492504343953926634992332820282019728.792003956564819968 = p4 = too early! The disputer was correct!

over 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Will an earthquake measuring 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? POAP image

over 3 years ago

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over 3 years ago

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over 3 years ago

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over 3 years ago

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almost 4 years ago

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almost 4 years ago

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60k $UMA would be sent to an Administrative Multisig to collateralise 60k KPI options for distribution to SuperUMAn DAO members and the SuperUMAn treasury. The proposal went thru!

almost 4 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - SuperUMAn KPI Grant Proposal POAP image

about 4 years ago

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