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almost 3 years ago

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Dispute on Across-v2 price identifier, timestamp #1654091465. The Oracle resolved to 0 = p1 = No! The disputer was correct!

almost 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Across V2 price identifier dispute #1654091465 POAP image

almost 3 years ago

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Across Relay Dispute #1654874916

almost 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Across Relay Dispute #1654874916 POAP image

almost 3 years ago

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almost 3 years ago

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q: title: Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election?, description: Colombian presidents are elected for four-year terms using a two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff is held between the top two candidates. The first round of elections for the President of Colombia is scheduled to take place on May 29, 2022. Incumbent President Iván Duque is ineligible for a second term. If Federico Gutiérrez wins the 2022 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no presidential candidate is elected by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is ambiguity in the election's results official information from the government of Colombia (e.g. http://wsp.presidencia.gov.co/En/Paginas/Presidency.aspx) will be used. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p2 corresponds to Yes, p1 to a No, p3 to unknown. The Oracle resolved to -57896044618658097711785492504343953926634992332820282019728.792003956564819968 = p4 = too early! The disputer was correct!

almost 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? POAP image

q: title: Will an earthquake measuring 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022?, description: This is a market on whether at least one earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occurs on Earth between January 1, 2022 (12:00:00 AM ET) and June 1, 2022 (12:00:00 AM ET), as measured by the U.S. Geological Survey. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the resolution source lists 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher anywhere on earth for that period. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). To access the data, one must choose the earthquake they are looking for from the list then open its individual page, then open its “Origin” detailed data. The URLs of such pages are usually formatted as follows: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/%5B_CATALOGNUMBER_%5D/origin/detail Specifically, the number next to the magnitude (regardless of the uncertainty level and of the scale used) and the origin time at the “Origin” page of each earthquake in question will be used. Please note, only earthquakes with “REVIEWED” origin status will be considered. The last data check will be done on June 7th, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p2 corresponds to Yes, p1 to a No, p3 to unknown. The Oracle resolved to -57896044618658097711785492504343953926634992332820282019728.792003956564819968 = p4 = too early! The disputer was correct!

almost 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Will an earthquake measuring 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? POAP image

q: title: Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022?, description: Tropical storms are given names as soon as they display a rotating circulation pattern and wind speeds of 39 miles per hour (63 kilometers per hour). A tropical storm develops into a hurricane when wind speeds reach 74 mph (119 kph). Hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and ends on November 30 each year. The lists of hurricane names for each season are chosen by the World Meteorological Organization (not The Old Farmer’s Almanac). The first storm in the 2022 season shall be named "Alex". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 1st named storm in 2022 (Alex) for the NOAA Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico Region forms within the market's timeframe and to "No" otherwise. This market timeframe spans from May 10, 2022 12:00:00 PM ET to May 31, 2022 11:59:59 PM ET. The resolution source is NOAA's National Hurricane Center, currently listing all named tropical systems for 2022 at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2022/. This market may resolve to "No" only if by June 1, 12:00 PM ET, it was not reported that Alex formed within the market's timeframe. It may not resolve to "No" before June 1, 12:00 PM ET. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5, p4: -57896044618658097711785492504343953926634992332820282019728.792003956564819968. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to a Yes, p3 to unknown, and p4 to an early request. The Oracle resolved to -57896044618658097711785492504343953926634992332820282019728.792003956564819968 = p4 = too early! The disputer was correct!

almost 3 years ago

Optimistic Oracle - Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? POAP image